Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-23 0.050973 0.059493 0.068854 0.079882 0.092497 0.106456 0.123050
2025-03-02 0.037340 0.048270 0.061401 0.078257 0.099231 0.124375 0.156697
2025-03-09 0.029330 0.041502 0.057314 0.079173 0.108389 0.145842 0.197195
2025-03-16 0.022584 0.034734 0.051688 0.076747 0.112438 0.160966 0.231340
2025-03-23 0.019402 0.032099 0.050954 0.080469 0.124836 0.188215 0.284508
2025-03-30 0.016223 0.028757 0.048487 0.081062 0.132518 0.209399 0.331217
2025-04-06 0.013260 0.025120 0.044861 0.079140 0.135862 0.224223 0.369760
2025-04-13 0.011028 0.022246 0.041922 0.077727 0.139564 0.239637 0.410356
2025-04-20 0.010028 0.021369 0.042185 0.081627 0.152278 0.270369 0.477877
2025-04-27 0.009046 0.020326 0.041952 0.084536 0.163499 0.299552 0.545327
2025-05-04 0.007626 0.018124 0.039197 0.082390 0.165401 0.312970 0.587207
2025-05-11 0.006593 0.016526 0.037341 0.081637 0.169643 0.330663 0.637768
2025-05-18 0.005553 0.014726 0.034845 0.079377 0.170959 0.343587 0.681743
2025-05-25 0.004720 0.013231 0.032749 0.077626 0.173042 0.358098 0.729938
2025-06-01 0.004199 0.012385 0.031936 0.078467 0.180399 0.383198 0.800017
2025-06-08 0.003545 0.011051 0.029779 0.076026 0.180610 0.394367 0.844305
2025-06-15 0.003330 0.010851 0.030283 0.079697 0.194284 0.433496 0.946485
2025-06-22 0.002976 0.010182 0.029520 0.080276 0.201196 0.459409 1.024261
2025-06-29 0.002557 0.009217 0.027831 0.078366 0.202245 0.473158 1.078271
2025-07-06 0.002218 0.008415 0.026432 0.076964 0.204270 0.489088 1.137982
2025-07-13 0.002114 0.008349 0.027047 0.080827 0.219213 0.534283 1.263082
2025-07-20 0.001983 0.008161 0.027281 0.083710 0.232062 0.575850 1.383339
2025-07-27 0.001711 0.007411 0.025748 0.081582 0.232233 0.588870 1.442080